Will Real Madrid stage another comeback miracle? The data indicates that Arsenal may advance with a narrow defeat[WEIRUSHUI]

At 3 a.m. Beijing time on April 17th, the second leg of the Champions League quarter-finals witnessed a highly anticipated match, with Real Madrid returning home to face Arsenal. In the first leg, Arsenal thrashed Real Madrid 3-0. With a three-goal lead, can they rest easy in the second leg? Obviously not. The miraculous comebacks at the Bernabeu always happen at the last moment. The official betting odds set is 1.61(Real Madrid), 3.95(draw), and 3.92(Arsenal), with the home team having a clear advantage.

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In the first leg, Arsenal won 3-0 at home against Real Madrid, pushing the "Galacticos" into a desperate situation with a textbook-level possession. Rice scored two world-class free kicks, Merino added ‌, and Real Madrid midfielder Camavinga was sent off with a red card after his emotional outbursts and suspended for the second leg ‌. With a three-goal lead, Arsenal still cannot rest easy.

In fact, the Bernabeu has repeatedly staged miraculous comebacks throughout history! In the 1975/76 UEFA Champions League round of 16, Real Madrid lost 1-4 in the first leg but reversed the score 5-1 in the second leg. This was also the first time in Real Madrid's history that they managed to turn the tables after losing by three goals in the first leg of the Champions League. The opponent was also the English team Derby County. In addition, in the quarter-finals of the 15/16 season, Wolfsburg also lost the first leg but reversed the second leg. In the 2021/22 season's round of 16 match against Paris Saint-Germain, Real Madrid lost 0-1 in the first leg but managed a 3-1 comeback at home in the second leg. In the semi-final against Manchester City, they also lost first but won later to complete a comeback. According to statistics, Real Madrid has completed more than seven comebacks in the Champions League knockout stage. The comeback miracle at the Bernabeu is undoubtedly the biggest psychological boost for this game.

Let's take a look at the lineup for this match. Real Madrid midfielder Chouameni is back from suspension, Ceballos has returned to the team, and Mbappe was sent off in the league before. This time in the Champions League, they can relax. Arsenal's star player Saka has made a comeback. Rice and Merino are both in good form, but Gabriel is out for the season. In previous encounters, Real Madrid has failed to win any of their last three official matches against Arsenal, with one draw and two losses, showing no advantage.