Barcelona failed to secure a defeat at home or won 2-1 against Inter Milan in the fierce competition【yuyi】

At 3 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, May 1st, another semi-final of the UEFA Champions League kicked off, with Barcelona taking on Inter Milan. It is worth mentioning that Barcelona is the team that has scored the most goals in this season's Champions League, while Inter Milan is the team that has conceded the fewest goals. This confrontation between offense and defense is full of highlights. According to the data released by the official sports lottery, Barcelona, playing at home, has a greater advantage and is expected to take the lead in the first leg.

Barcelona fought in extra time last weekend and eventually won 3-2 against Real Madrid, claiming their 32nd Copa del Rey title in club history. Although Lewandowski is still injured at present, the outstanding performance of the substitute striker Ferran Torres has not had a significant impact on the team due to his absence, and the team is still at its peak. This season in the UEFA Champions League, Barcelona has been enjoying smooth sailing. They have advanced to the semi-finals with an overwhelming momentum, scoring 37 goals in 12 matches and leading the goal-scoring chart. Moreover, since entering 2025, Barcelona has not lost any of its 15 home games. The last time they lost was on December 22 last year. Furthermore, although Lewandowski was injured and unable to play, the outstanding performance of the substitute striker Ferran Torres did not have a significant impact on the team, and they still maintained the pace of competing for titles in multiple competitions.

Inter Milan has also been making steady progress in this season's Champions League. They finished fourth in the league and advanced directly. In the knockout stage, they successively defeated Feyenoord and the Bundesliga powerhouse Bayern Munich, which is of high quality. Unlike Barcelona, Inter Milan relies most on their solid defense. In 12 Champions League matches this season, they have conceded only 5 goals, making them the team with the fewest goals conceded in the competition. However, their recent form has been rather poor. Since eliminating Bayern in the Champions League, the team has suffered a three-game losing streak, failing to score a single goal in the three matches. At the same time, they were eliminated from the Coppa Italia and slipped to second place in the league. If they fail to adjust their form in time, Inter Milan may face a situation where all three fronts collapse within a week.

The two teams have met 12 times before, all in the Champions League. Barcelona has achieved a record of 6 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, holding a psychological edge. However, in the last two encounters, Barcelona has only managed one draw and one loss without a single victory. Moreover, in the last five encounters between the two sides, the largest point difference was only one goal, which shows that their strengths are very close.

The official betting odds for this match are 1.53(Barcelona win), 3.90(draw), and 4.55(Inter Milan win). Barcelona, with its formidable home ground, is undoubtedly more favored. In terms of the score, the odds for Barcelona to win 2-1 are the lowest at 1 to 7.00, followed by a 1-1 draw at 1 to 8.25, while the lowest odds for Inter Milan to win are 1 to 13.50. Overall, considering the completely different competitive states of the two teams recently and Barcelona's terrifying home record, it is advisable to expect Barcelona to win by a small margin at home in this game and seize the initiative to advance.